Armada Daily Repo Summary Archive
Traditional Repo & Rates

Core CPI Beat Sustains Treasury Selloff; Markets Price Fed Rate Hike for 2027

Bloomberg Markets · May 12, 2026 8:48 AM EDT

US Treasuries extended losses after a core CPI print came in above economist consensus, reinforcing market expectations that the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates in 2027 to contain inflation. The selloff was broad-based across maturities, with longer-duration Treasuries underperforming as real rate expectations shifted higher.

For Armada's traditional repo desk, sustained Treasury price declines reduce the market value of collateral held against open repo positions, putting pressure on haircut adequacy and potentially triggering margin calls for counterparties. If rate hike expectations firm further, primary dealers may also reduce balance sheet capacity for repo intermediation, tightening market liquidity at a time when Armada is building its counterparty network among banks and asset managers.

Suggested action Review duration exposure in Treasury and agency collateral pools; confirm haircut schedules remain adequate under a +50bp rate shock scenario.
Read the original article →